Wins on the Shelf

2009 Wins Above Replacement (according to fangraphs) for the 11 Red Sox currently on the disabled list:

Josh Beckett 5.3
Dustin Pedroia 5.0
Victor Martinez 4.2
Jacoby Ellsbury 2.7
Clay Buchholz 1.2
Mike Lowell 1.1
Manny Delcarmen 0.8
Jeremy Hermida 0.6
Jason Varitek 0.5
Junichi Tazawa 0.1
Jed Lowrie -0.2

That’s 21.3 wins on the shelf. Throw in Kevin Youkilis (5.9 WAR), who left the game with an ankle injury before the fourth inning started, and Mike Cameron (4.4), who was suited up but unable to pinch hit with the game on the line (though he was available, oddly, to pinch run), and you’ve got 31.7 wins Physically Unable to Perform.

That’s the difference between a 95-win team (say, last year’s Red Sox) and a 62-win team (last year’s Pirates) watching helplessly as Niuman “replacement level” Romero finished an 0-for-4 night with a groundout to second with the tying run in scoring position.

The 2006 Cardinals, as a team (a team that included Albert Pujols’s 8.3 WAR), finished the season with 19.8 WAR. They won the World Series. The Red Sox have more talent on the disabled list than that team had on its 40-man roster.

Tough year.

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1 Response to Wins on the Shelf

  1. Nick says:

    I don’t even want to think about this list for the Phillies. The combination of Juan Castro and Wilson Valdez doesn’t exactly inspire confidence compared to Jimmy Rollins, and now Chase Utley and Placido Polanco. Also, I don’t want any current statistical analyses done on “Value Under 2008’s Version of Brad Lidge.” I’d curl into the fetal position and cry myself to sleep.

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